There was a post on the Mayor’s website yesterday about a call from Gubernatorial candidate Sarah Steelman. She let Mayor Slay know that she will be holding a press conference in St. Louis to call for the city to phase out the city earnings tax.
Ms. Steelman rightfully presents that the earnings tax does indeed discourage people and businesses from locating within the city of St. Louis. The Mayor also makes the valid point that the earnings tax makes up a third of the city budget and is difficult to replace and replacing it would mean raising other taxes on the current businesses and residents of the city causing the same discouragement as the earnings tax.
So, here we are, at an impasse. The cart before the horse. The chicken or the egg. The end solution I’m sure will be to do nothing.
I agree that phasing out (not just cutting it out in one fail swoop) the earnings tax would be good for the city, and the city has some good opportunities to do that if we take them when they come.
Here lies the problem. If my budget at home can not pay for everything I want I have to either bring in more money or spend less of it, period. The city is no different. So, that leaves the city with two options if they cut out 1/3 of their income. They can either raise taxes as the Mayor says the would need to, or they can cut spending (which is also not always a pleasant idea).
I took a browse over to the city website for their annual financial statements. I looked through the statements for 2007 and 2005 to get some information going back to 2002 for annual revenue and annual tax revenue from the employment/payroll tax. Here are my findings (all my numbers are in millions):

Well, it seems the Mayor wasn’t comparing the payroll taxes to Gross Revenue, but just to tax revenue because it’s really only 18-19% of our total revenue. So, that’s a little easier chunk to swallow. Total revenue has been growing over the last 5 years. If you just looked at real dollars, we have 80 million more in revenue in 2007 than 2002. That could cut the earnings tax in half! Of course, that doesn’t reflect inflation either. Expenses are bound to grow some as well as we give city employees at least the bare minimum raise to equal inflation (though I’m sure they don’t typically get that much).
However, from what I read on the Mayor’s site and in the Post-Dispatch from week to week, we seem to take any “new found” money and throw it at development projects for our “buddies.” Sure, it would be great also if we could continually expand city services, improve the schools and whatnot, but why can’t we take a realistic approach and gradually “phase out” the earnings tax with some ever decreasing rates while our revenues are growing? Wouldn’t that gradually encourage more residents and businesses who will grow other areas of the tax base naturally and allow us to speed up the decline of the earnings tax? Let’s not forget as well that there will be an increase in property tax revenue in the coming years as all those tax abated homes start finishing off their abatement period.
So, why not cut the earnings tax to 0.9% for the next year and cut back a bit on giveaways to encourage specific companies to move in. That small drop will be a freebie to anyone and hopefully (with a long term plan in place to get rid of it all) the increase in business and residents will make up for the missing earnings tax over time.
Of course, the mayor also suggested that the state give a tax credit for the city earnings tax. So, let’s reduce the state’s tax revenue so that the city residents can keep paying their earnings tax. That means more Missourians will be picking up the statewide burden for those of us here in the city. Great for us but would suck to be them. Let’s play fair shall we?